Here are my predictions for tonights election results:
Presidential Election:
Obama: 364
McCain: 174
If Obama wins the popular vote by +7 or +8 percentage points, then he will also carry at least a couple of the following states: Arizona, Georgia, Indiana, Montana, North Dakota.
If Obama wins by only 3 to 4 percent of the popular vote, then it is possible for McCain to carry a couple of the following states: Florida, Missouri, North Carolina, Ohio.
Senate Projections:
*Democrats: 58 or 59 (+7 or +8)
*Republicans: 41 or 42 (-7 or -8)
* The Georgia race will go to a runoff on Dec. 2nd
No candidate will receive 50% of the vote today
Democrats will hold all of their races and the Republicans will lose the following races:
Alaska (Stevens)
Colorado (Schaffer)
New Mexico (Pearce)
New Hampshire (Sununu)
North Carolina (Dole)
Oregon (Smith)
Virginia (Gilmore)
House Projections:
Democrats: 262 (+26)
Republicans: 173 (-26)
Governor Projections:
Democrats: 28 (+1)
Republicans: 21 (-1)
Missouri goes for Nixon! The Democrat....
Good luck to all the candidates out there!
6 comments:
this looks alot like how the votes ended up being, that crazy.....
It's nice how it really was that close. Good job Mr. Perry. And congratulations on Obama being president. :)
Your estimations were only a few states off from being perfect! Good call! (:
My prediction was off,
i thought the bradley effect would happened but it did not happen like that.
As what l said.Obama just own this game.Obama get 2 times more votes than McCain.This is imbalance.l hope Obama can give us right direction.
Very Close Prediction, only a few states off. Good Job.
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