Tuesday, November 4, 2008

Final Predictions


Here are my predictions for tonights election results:


Presidential Election:


Obama: 364

McCain: 174


If Obama wins the popular vote by +7 or +8 percentage points, then he will also carry at least a couple of the following states: Arizona, Georgia, Indiana, Montana, North Dakota.

If Obama wins by only 3 to 4 percent of the popular vote, then it is possible for McCain to carry a couple of the following states: Florida, Missouri, North Carolina, Ohio.




Senate Projections:





*Democrats: 58 or 59 (+7 or +8)


*Republicans: 41 or 42 (-7 or -8)

* The Georgia race will go to a runoff on Dec. 2nd
No candidate will receive 50% of the vote today

Democrats will hold all of their races and the Republicans will lose the following races:
Alaska (Stevens)
Colorado (Schaffer)
New Mexico (Pearce)
New Hampshire (Sununu)
North Carolina (Dole)
Oregon (Smith)
Virginia (Gilmore)





House Projections:





Democrats: 262 (+26)


Republicans: 173 (-26)





Governor Projections:





Democrats: 28 (+1)


Republicans: 21 (-1)


Missouri goes for Nixon! The Democrat....

Good luck to all the candidates out there!

6 comments:

danielachavez4 said...

this looks alot like how the votes ended up being, that crazy.....

Mackenzie said...

It's nice how it really was that close. Good job Mr. Perry. And congratulations on Obama being president. :)

divyavangipuram1 said...

Your estimations were only a few states off from being perfect! Good call! (:

hsomepjj said...

My prediction was off,
i thought the bradley effect would happened but it did not happen like that.

han yu 4th said...

As what l said.Obama just own this game.Obama get 2 times more votes than McCain.This is imbalance.l hope Obama can give us right direction.

Ivan Valadez 3rd said...

Very Close Prediction, only a few states off. Good Job.